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Gold vs. the S&P 500: With Inflation at a 3-Year High, Which Does History Say Wins?

fool.com·Jun 14, 2026

The article compares investing in gold versus the S&P 500 amid rising inflation and economic pressures, concluding that while gold serves as a hedge against the U.S. dollar, the S&P 500 represents a more optimistic investment in America's largest companies, likely to outperform gold in the long run. It highlights that gold has retreated significantly from its peak, while the S&P 500 remains near all-time highs, suggesting a preference for the latter as a more reliable long-term investment.

With U.S. inflation at a three-year high, the S&P 500 remains historically expensive, trading at 32 times earnings, yet it continues to be a strong long-term investment due to its consistent rebalancing and strong historical performance of 785% total return over the past 20 years with reinvested dividends. This suggests that, despite short-term volatility, the S&P 500 may continue to outperform gold, making it a potentially more optimistic choice for wealth-building and portfolio growth compared to gold, which is traditionally a hedge against inflation but has recently retreated from its high.

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