Shared from twixb · foreignaffairs.com

Europe’s Next War | Foreign Affairs

foreignaffairs.com·Feb 17, 2026

The article discusses the heightened risk of a NATO-Russia conflict following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, emphasizing that a cease-fire might lead to increased tensions and military buildups. It argues for NATO to develop new strategies for managing relations with Russia to prevent a future war, highlighting the need for deterrence, dialogue, and a robust peace agreement in Ukraine.

The most valuable insight for you is the need for NATO and Western allies to develop new strategies to manage their relationship with Russia post-conflict, as the risk of a direct confrontation remains high even after a cease-fire. This involves maintaining a united transatlantic front, enhancing deterrence through targeted defense spending, and establishing communication and risk-reduction mechanisms to avoid misunderstandings and miscalculations that could lead to war. This strategic shift is crucial to prevent Europe from becoming the central battlefield in a potential future conflict.

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