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What Happens to Your Vanguard ETF Portfolio During a Recession? I Ran the Historical Numbers.

fool.com·Apr 13, 2026

The U.S. economy shows signs of strain, with slowed labor market growth and rising consumer credit stress, exacerbated by the ongoing war in Iran that has driven crude oil prices up and could lead to higher inflation and recession fears. This situation raises concerns about the potential impact on financial markets in 2026.

The current geopolitical tensions in Iran have significantly driven up crude oil prices, which is expected to lead to higher inflation rates and limit the Federal Reserve's ability to lower interest rates. As a knowledgeable investor, consider adjusting your portfolio to hedge against inflation and potential market volatility, such as reallocating assets into inflation-protected securities or sectors that benefit from rising oil prices.

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