Shared from twixb · noahpinion.substack.com

Something feels weird about this economy

noahpinion.substack.com·Mar 7, 2026

The U.S. macroeconomy is currently experiencing solid overall growth with high productivity, despite poor job growth, suggesting a complex economic environment where productivity gains, potentially driven by AI and a boom in data centers, are not translating into increased employment.

The most valuable insight for someone interested in geopolitics and the global economy is the rapid acceleration of productivity growth in the U.S., driven significantly by a boom in data center construction, rather than AI directly replacing jobs. This suggests potential shifts in industrial policy and capital allocation, with implications for supply chain dynamics and investment in technology infrastructure, which could impact global economic competitiveness and geopolitical strategies.

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